How Does Lotto HotPicks Work? Odds, Prizes & Calculations
Lotto HotPicks is a side game to the main UK Lotto draw. That is, it uses the same numbers as Lotto but you choose how many of them you want to match.
IMPORTANT
This guide is about UK Lotto HotPicks - go here for EuroMillions HotPicks
How To Play HotPicks
The most unusual feature of this game is that you decide how many balls you are going to try and match, between 1 and 5 (if you want to try and match all 6, play the main UK Lotto game instead).
So in this example below, we have chosen to play 'Pick 2' and selected the numbers 9 and 31. If both 9 and 31 are drawn as any of the 6 main UK Lotto numbers then we win.
You only win though if you match the number of balls you selected to play. So if you choose to 'Pick 5' numbers and only match 4 then you don't win anything. And similarly if you choose to only 'Pick 1' number than you can't win anything more than a Match 1 prize.
Also remember that the bonus ball is NOT included in this game, only the 6 main balls.
Lotto HotPicks Prizes & Odds
LATEST: Updated for the change from 49 to 59 balls.
These are the odds of winning for each 'Pick' you can make, and the fixed prize that you win. Remember: you can only win for the number of matches you choose, no more and no less.
Game | Odds (approx) | Prize |
---|---|---|
Pick 5 Match 5 | 1 in 834,398 | £350,000 |
Pick 4 Match 4 | 1 in 30,342 | £13,000 |
Pick 3 Match 3 | 1 in 1,626 | £800 |
Pick 2 Match 2 | 1 in 115 | £60 |
Pick 1 Match 1 | 1 in 10 | £6 |
NOTE: There is a prize capping rule, so it is possible that if there are 'too many winners' then the prizes can be smaller.
Odds Of Winning Lotto HotPicks Explained
This game causes a lot of confusion about how the odds are calculated. It's not as simple as you may first think.
Take the 'Pick 1' game for example - you have to match 1 number from the 59 possible numbers. You might be tempted to say the odds are simply 1-in-59. But don't forget that there are still 6 balls being drawn for the main UK Lotto draw - and you win if you match any of those 6, so you effectively get 6 chances to win. Which actually works out to 1-in-9 (approx).
Here's the actual calculation you need to work out the odds at each prize level:-
And here are some examples of the calculations worked through (based on the old 49 ball game, but it's the same principal):-
Pick 4 Match 4
All 4 selected numbers match any 4 out of the 6 drawn balls.
This calculation demonstrates that the odds of winning the Pick 4 Lotto Hotpicks jackpot used to be 1 in 14,126 before the changes.
Pick 3 Match 3
All 3 selected numbers match any 3 out of the 6 drawn balls.
Which shows that the odds of winning the Pick 3 Lotto Hotpicks jackpot used to be 1 in 922.
Pick 2 Match 2
Both selected numbers match any 2 out of the 6 drawn balls.
And you can see that the odds of winning the Pick 2 Lotto Hotpicks jackpot used to be 1 in 79.
I'll leave you to prove the current figures if you feel the need ;-). Just follow the formula.
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